Hurricane Storm Surge and Corps of Engineers Response to Time Magazine
The US Army Corps of Engineers responded on August 13, 2007 to the Time Magazine story, The Threatening Storm. The Corps contends that the Time story contains "many errors and misrepresentations" and describes it as a "wreckless disregard for the truth."
The Corps response appears to contain at least one significant omission. The response states: "The Corps acknowledges that wetlands have a beneficial role in storm surge and wave dissipation, but adequate quantitative information about that role has not been developed."
At least as far back as December 29, 1961, the USACE published a report entitled: Interim Survey Report Mississippi River Delta At and Below New Orleans. Much of appendix A deals with hurricane storm surge and on page A-11, the report suggests the difficulty in finding meaningful correlations to specific characteristics of hurricanes. Nevertheless, the report reaches a very simple conclusion:
"The study of available observed high water marks at the coastline and inland indicates a fairly consistent simple relationship between the maximum surge height and the distance inland from the coast, as shown on plate A-6. This relationship exists independently of the speed of hurricane translation, wind speeds or directions. The data indicates that the weighted mean decrease in storm surge height inland is at the rate of 1.0 foot per 2.75 miles. The relationship remains true even in the western portions of Louisiana where relatively high chenieres, or wooded ridges, parallel the coast." An excerpt of the report is linked.
The existence of coastal wetlands south of New Orleans decreases storm surge at New Orleans and the loss of wetlands increases storm surge at New Orleans. The Corps has known that for many years.
Erich P Rapp.